PROBABILITY REPORT
Published on March 10, 2014 @ 05:36:11 UTC
Northern California Seismic System (NCSS) operated by UC Berkeley and USGSVersion 0: This report supersedes any earlier probability reports about this event.
MAINSHOCK
Magnitude : 6.88 Mw (A strong quake) Time : 09 Mar 2014 10:18:12 PM, PDT : 10 Mar 2014 05:18:12 UTC Coordinates : 40 deg. 49.26 min. N, 125 deg. 7.66 min. W : 40.8210 N, 125.1277 W Depth : 4.3 miles ( 7.0 km) Quality : Fair Location : 48 mi. ( 77 km) WNW of Ferndale, CA : 50 mi. ( 81 km) W of Eureka, CA Event ID : NC 72182046
STRONG AFTERSHOCKS (Magnitude 5 and larger) -
At this time (immediately after the mainshock) the probability of a strong and possibly damaging aftershock IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS is greater than 90 PERCENT
EARTHQUAKES LARGER THAN THE MAINSHOCK -
Most likely, the recent mainshock will be the largest in the sequence. However, there is a small chance (APPROXIMATELY 5 TO 10 PERCENT) of an earthquake equal to or larger than this mainshock in the next 7 days.
WEAK AFTERSHOCKS (Magnitude 3 to 5) -
In addition, approximately 10 to 300 SMALL AFTERSHOCKS are expected in the same 7-DAY PERIOD and may be felt locally.
This probability report is based on the statistics of aftershocks typical for California. This is not an exact prediction, but only a rough guide to expected aftershock activity. This probability report may be revised as more information becomes available.
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